Technology decision making essay

Dundar F. Kocaoglu, aims to demonstrate the applications of the Hierarchical Decision Model HDM in different sectors and its capacity in decision analysis. It is comprised of essays from noted scholars, academics and researchers of engineering and technology management around the world.

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Kocaoglu is one of the pioneers of multiple decision models using hierarchies, and creator of the HDM in decision analysis. A wide range of alternatives can be considered, including but not limited to, different technologies, projects, markets, jobs, products, cities to live in, houses to buy, apartments to rent, and schools to attend.

Moreover, his students developed advanced tools and software applications to further improve and enhance the robustness of the HDM approach. Kocaoglu has made many contributions to the field of Engineering and Technology Management.

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His teaching has won awards and resulted in a strong sense of student loyalty among his students even decades later. Furthermore, many people question top heavy decision making and never fully buy in. Any time a single person makes a key decision without consulting others they are setting themselves up for ridicule and eventual failure.

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Even if that decision is the correct and best choice, it serves school leaders well to consult with others and seek their advice before the final say. When school leaders make too many individual decisions they eventually distance themselves from other stakeholders which is unhealthy at best. Collaborative decisions are typically well thought out, inclusive, and holistic. When a representative from each stakeholder group is brought to the table, it gives validity to the decision.

For example, parents feel they have a voice in a decision because there were other parents representing them in the decision-making group. This is especially true when those on a collaborative decision-making committee go out into the community and seek further feedback from like stakeholders. Furthermore, these decisions are holistic in nature meaning that research has been done, and both sides have been carefully examined.

Collaborative decisions often lead to better decision making.

When a group comes together with a common goal, they are able to explore all the options more in-depth. They can take their time, bounce ideas off one another, research the pros and cons of each option thoroughly, and ultimately make a decision that will produce the greatest outcomes with the least resistance.

Improving Our Ability to Make Decisions Essay

Better decisions yield better results. In a school environment, this is extremely important. A top priority for every school is to maximize student potential. You do this in part by making the correct, calculated decisions time and time again. One of the greatest aspects of collaborative decision making is that no single person can take the credit or the blame. The final decision lies with the majority on the committee. How can you decide whether employing a prediction machine will improve matters? The AI Canvas is a simple tool that helps you organize what you need to know into seven categories in order to systematically make that assessment.

We provide an example for the security alarm case. First, you specify what you are trying to predict. In the alarm case, you want to know whether an alarm is caused by an unknown person or not true versus false alarm.

Improving Our Ability to Make Decisions Essay -- Decision Making Proce

A prediction machine can potentially tell you this — after all, an alarm with a simple movement sensor is already a sort of prediction machine. With machine learning, you can take a richer range of sensor inputs to determine what you really want to predict: whether the movement was caused specifically by an unknown person. This will depend on the situation and requires human judgment. How costly is a response phone call to verify what is happening?

How expensive is it to dispatch a security guard in response to an alarm? How much is it worth to respond quickly? How costly is it to not respond if it turns out that there was an intruder in the home? There are many factors to consider; determining their relative weights requires judgment.

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Such judgment can change the nature of the prediction machine you deploy. In the alarm case, having cameras all over the house may be the best way of determining the presence of an unknown intruder. But many people will be uncomfortable with this. Some people would prefer to trade the cost of dealing with more false alarms for enhanced privacy. Judgment sometimes requires determining the relative value of factors that are difficult to quantify and thus compare. While the cost of false alarms may be easy to quantify, the value of privacy is not. Next, you identify the action that is dependent on the predictions generated.

Perhaps the options for action include not just dispatching someone but also enabling immediate remote monitoring of who is in the home or some form of contact with the home owner.

Decision-Making Models Essay

An action leads to an outcome. For example, the security company dispatched a security guard action , and the guard discovered an intruder outcome. In other words, looking back, we are able to see for each decision whether the right response occurred.